Nexus Between Financial Liberalization, Balance Of Payment And Economic Growth In Nigeria
Source: By:Danladi Jonathan Dastu, Faweya Kolapo Vincent
DOI: https://doi.org/10.30564/jesr.v3i2.1611
Abstract: The objectives of this paper are to examine the nexus between financial liberalization, balance of payment and economic growth in Nigeria. The scope of this study due to data availability, especially on measures of balance of payment, covers the period of 1986-2017. This study adopts econometrics techniques of analysis by using Panel Unit Root Tests and Co-integration analysis which is used to determine the long run relationship among economic variables. To test the co-integration relationship this study followed the methodology proposed by Pedroni (1991) who extends the Engle and Granger (1987) two step procedure to heterogeneous panel data framework. The study adopts annual time series secondary data for the period of 1986 to 2017. Balance of payment, Official Exchange Rate, Inflation rate (%), Balance of trade, Trade openness, Real Gross Domestic Product growth, and Term of Trade, all data used were obtained from the World Development Indicators. The findings of this study revealed that an increase in exchange rate,interest rate, inflation rate, and trade openness have negatively affect economic growth. Hence, changes or movements in these variables do not necessarily prompt the liberalization decision in the real sector. Therefore, the need to address balance of payment is important, in accordance with the low rate of development in Nigeria. We therefore, recommend that government should monitor both Fiscal and Monetary policies’ variables that can significantly influence economic growth in Nigeria.That is, adequate balance of payment that can encourage appropriate financial liberalization should be put in place with, Official Exchange Rate, Inflation rate (%), Balance of trade, Trade openness. References:Adebiyi, M., A. (2001). Can high real interest rate promote economic growth without fuelling inflation in Nigeria. Journal of Economic and Social Studies, Maiden Edition, (4), 86-100. Agbaeze, E., K., & Onwuka, I., O. (2014). Financial liberalization and investments in Nigeria. Journal of Research in Economics and International Finance, 3(1), 12-24. Anthony, O., Peter, N., & Onyinye, I. (2015). Financial liberalization and output growth in Nigeria: Empirical evidence from credit channel. International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, 5(11), 297-311. Asinya, F., A., & Nelson, T. (2014). Balance of payments constrained growth in developing economies: The case of Nigeria. International Journal of Development and Sustainability, 3(9), 1822-1835. Central Bank of Nigeria (2017). Financial markets in Nigeria. Abuja, Nigeria: CBN Publication Central Bank of Nigeria (2019). Financial markets in Nigeria. Abuja, Nigeria: CBN Publication Chantal, T. (2000). Balance of payments crises in the developing world: Balancing trade, finance and development in the new economic order. American University International Law Review, 15(6), 1249-1277. Egbetunde, T., Ayinde, T., O. & Balogun, A., A. (2017). Interest rate liberalization, financial development and economic growth in sub-Saharan African economies. African Journal of Economic Review, 5(2), 109-129. Engle, R., F., & Granger, C., W., J. (1987). Co-integration and error correction representation: Estimation and testing. Econometrical, 55, 251-276. Igbinoba, E. (2017). Balance of payments constrained economic growth in Nigeria. African Journal of Economic Review, 5(2),1-13. Imam, P. (2007). Effect of IMF structural adjustment programs on expectations: The case of transition economies, IMF Working Paper WP/07/261, International Monetary Fund, Washington D.C. Imoisi, A., I. (2012). The trends in Nigeria’s balance of payments position: An empirical analysis from 1970-2010. European Journal of Business and Management, 4(21), 210-217. Johnston, R., B., & Sandararajan, V. (1999). Sequencing Financial Sector Reforms, Country Experiences and Issues”, International Monetary Fund, Washington D.C Kapur, B. (1976). Alternative stabilization policies for less developed economies. Journal of Political Economy, 84(4), 777-795. Keynes, M., J. (1936). The general theory of employment, interest and money. MacMillan, London, 2004. Mabior A., G. (2014). The determinants of balance of payments performance in Kenya. (Master of Arts dissertation, University of Nairobi, Kenya). Retrieved from http://www.handle.unsw.edu.au/1959.4/44704. McKinnon, R., I. (1973). Money and capital in economic development. Washington, D.C.: Brookings Institution Press. Nwani, V., M. (2003). Determinants of balance of payments fluctuation in Nigeria. Journal of Economic Studies, 13(10), 2-17. Obamuyi, T., M. (2009). Government financial liberalization policy and development of private sector in Nigeria: Issues and challenges. Retrieved from http//www.growinginclusivemarkets.org Obute, C., Adyorough, A., & Itodo, A.I. (2012). An assessment of the impact of interest rate deregulation on economic growth in Nigeria. Journal of Business and Organizational development, 4, 39-57. Ogboru, I. (2010). Nigeria’s public budget, trade and balance of payments. Maiduguri, Nigeria: University of Maiduguri Press. Ogbu, O. (2010). The global economic crisis and Nigeria. Nigeria, African Institute for Applied Economics: El’Demak Publishers. Okpara, G., C. (2010). The effect of financial liberalization on selected macroeconomic variables: Lesson from Nigeria. The International Journal of Applied Economics and Finance, 4(2), 53-61. Oshikoya, T., W. (1992). Interest rate liberalization, savings, investment and growth: The case of Kenya. Savings and Development 16, 305-321. Rayyanu, A., K. (2015). Financial liberalization and economic growth in Nigeria: An empirical analysis. Journal of Economics and Finance, 6(3), 15-24. Shaw, E. (1973). Financial deepening in economic development. New York: Oxford University Press Shuaib, I. M., Ekeria, O., A. & Ogedengbe, A., F. (2015). Balance of payments: Nigerian experience: 1960-2012. British Journal of Economics, Management & Trade, 7(4), 296-305. Solow, R. (1956). A contribution to the theory of economic growth. Quarterly Journal of Economics, 70, 65-94. Sulaiman, L., A., Migiro, S., O., & Aluko O., A. (2014). The structural adjustment program in developing economies pain or gain? Evidence from Nigeria. Journal of Public and Municipal Finance, 3(2), 41-48. Sulaiman, L., A., Oke, M., O., & Azeez, B., A. (2012). Effect of financial liberalization on economic growth in developing countries: The Nigerian experience. International Journal of Economics and Management Sciences, 1(12), 16-28. Tijani, J., O. (2014). Empirical analysis of balance of payment adjustment mechanisms: Monetary channel in Nigeria, 1970– 2010. Mediterranean Journal of Social Sciences, 5(14), 67-76. Timothy S. O., Inaya, Lucky S., & Emma I. (2016). Monetary Policy and Balance of Payments in Nigeria” World Bank (2012). World Bank Data.